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Strategy Articles : The straight five furlong specialist speed rating system.
By CJ the online punter team
With the flat season almost upon us once again you may want to try out this simple speed rating system that focuses on five furlong sprint races during the summer months.
About the system...
This system concentrates specifically on on five furlong flat races on the turf only. Races over the minimum distance are regarded by many as “specialist races” with a handful of trainers excelling with their runners over the trip. The method also makes use of the racing posts rating (RP) and their speed figures ( Topspeed ) which are freely available from www.racingpost.com
System Guidelines,
Only use this system at tracks that run Straight 5 furlong races. ( our results show that the Topspeed rating over this type of track have proven to be more accurate. )
Potential selections should be Top or Joint Top Rated regarding the RP rating.
Potential selections should hold the highest or joint highest “Topspeed” figure over the distance at the same or similar straight five furlong courses. ( a top master speed figure is also a positive indicator but not a requirement. )
Concentrate on horses at the front of the market in non handicap races and no bigger than 16/1 in handicap races.
Finding potential bets...
Firstly, check the days race cards for 5f races at any of the following tracks.
U.K Tracks ( Straight five furlong )
Ascot
Ayr
Beverly
Carlisle
Catterick
Chepstow
Doncaster
Epsom
Ffos Las
Folkestone
Goodwood
Hamilton
Haydock
Leicester
Musselburgh
Newbury
Newcastle
Haydock
Leicester
Musselburgh
Newbury
Newcastle
Newmarket/ July
Nottingham
Redcar
Ripon
Salisbury
Sandown
Thirsk
Windsor
Yarmouth
York
Course characteristics can easily be viewed by clicking on the courses Tab on the Racing Post Web Site.
Example, Yarmouth Racecourse straight and flat 5f course.
To easily assess the ratings click on the Topspeed tab located at the bottom of the race card on the Racing Post Web site. All the required rating information can be found here. ( see below )
The Racing Post “Topspeed” Card
Using the above table you can quickly find any potential bets. Remember that selections must be Top or Joint Top rated in each the TS , RPR , and DIST columns and that the DIST Rating should have been earned at the same or similar straight five furlong racecourse. The method can be applied to both handicap and non handicap races but proceed with caution when assessing maiden races especially if any runners making their race course debut are at the front end of the betting market.
Additional positive pointers.
The Going speed figure is another clue to a horses claims. I generally look for this figure to be in the top 3 or at least be competitive compared to the other runners.
The Master “Topspeed” figure. Again, look for a competitive rating.
The Trainer. As mentioned earlier certain trainers have excellent records over 5 furlongs and as such can be a strong indication of wether to place a bet or not.
Top five furlong trainers with 20%+ strike rate since 2003
( Hcap and Non Hcap )
R. Charlton
M A Jarvis
J Noseda
J M Oxx
Sir Michael Stoute
J H M Gosden
D R Loder
A P O brien
Sir Mark Prescott
M P Tregoning
Top five furlong Jockeys 15%+ strike rate since 2003
Behan, Victoria
Berry, F M
Dalgleish, K
Darley, K
Davies, Chris
Dettori, L
Evans, Richard
Fallon, K
Frost, Hadden
Hamblett, Ashley
Hills, Michael
Hughes, Richard
Kingscote, Richard
Latham, K
Moore, Ryan
Probert, David
Reilly, Brian
Robinson, Philip
Sanders, Seb
Spencer, Jamie
Tylicki, Frederik
Urbina, Oscar
Note , your selections should not be limited to the above Trainers / Jockeys. Instead they are to be used as additional positive pointers.
Happy Punting CJ the online punter team.
